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daniel039209
It’s clear you believe you have seen the HIGHS in the market that won’t be surpassed for years/ decades/ lifetime. What is the actual probability of that being true? When has the stock market NEVER NOT made new highs? I recall 1982- people never thought it could or would get above highs set in 1968-1969 peak. The DJIA was 1800 ish. What was the DJIA when you entered the market forecasting business? 1987 hi, 2000 hi, 2007 hi, 2021 hi. Every high was surpassed. The economy grows , GDP grows even at 2% a year is a lot. Just seems improbable that we will never see 6100 again. Or likely 6500, 7000, 7700 on SPX. You are really fixed on bearish outcome for years now. Yes we had a huge decline~18-20%. Finally. After a 50-75% gain in last 2 years. No puts ever would have saved a bearish stance. The decay is staggering.
Can we get back to basics: show a couple indicies,BTC, GLD few big stocks , Bonds. Thank you
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It’s clear you believe you have seen the HIGHS in the market that won’t be surpassed for years/ decades/ lifetime. What is the actual probability of that being true? When has the stock market NEVER NOT made new highs? I recall 1982- people never thought it could or would get above highs set in 1968-1969 peak. The DJIA was 1800 ish. What was the DJIA when you entered the market forecasting business? 1987 hi, 2000 hi, 2007 hi, 2021 hi. Every high was surpassed. The economy grows , GDP grows even at 2% a year is a lot. Just seems improbable that we will never see 6100 again. Or likely 6500, 7000, 7700 on SPX. You are really fixed on bearish outcome for years now. Yes we had a huge decline~18-20%. Finally. After a 50-75% gain in last 2 years. No puts ever would have saved a bearish stance. The decay is staggering. Can we get back to basics: show a couple indicies,BTC, GLD few big stocks , Bonds. Thank you
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