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Comments (4)

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Ali
Ali

Been using the stats for past 10 days. Very helpful! This Software competes with the Fed at throwing Free money at you ! Love it

XXSPOWER127
XXSPOWER127

What kind of % drawdown on a 50-60 ATR can we expect in your mind? Just unreal that it’s 4000 not even a summer election drop like usual on 4yr election cycle? What!!!

Steffen Scheuermann
Steffen Scheuermann
Moderator

- Ut A Chao - said:

I don't think it is even necessary to add a 'fudge factor' to the @ES 96.8/110.6 projection.

Since this is a long projection, the confirmed upside projection percentage was and remained 85.71%.

When you increased the ATR-fudge factor, only the downside percentages, and thus, overall percentages went up. Except for the big miss on trade #13, all the projections were on the short side.

I would assume it would make most sense to only consider the statistics for the respective trade direction when evaluating a projection.

Thank you, these statistics are tremendously useful.

Good observation. I agree!

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