We welcome all comments related to market timing. We do not welcome political and insulting comments, however, and comments of a political nature belong elsewhere and could lead to removal and blocking the originator of such political comments.
You cannot post comments. Sign up for the Video or Bundle membership now and get access to exclusive content! Login for Members
m1.c70
Jaw dropping work Peter. The statistical addition has added a whole level of predictive power.
matiasjarnal
Fantastic analysis as always, Peter!
Ali
Been using the stats for past 10 days. Very helpful! This Software competes with the Fed at throwing Free money at you ! Love it
XXSPOWER127
What kind of % drawdown on a 50-60 ATR can we expect in your mind? Just unreal that it’s 4000 not even a summer election drop like usual on 4yr election cycle? What!!!
Steffen Scheuermann
Moderator
- Ut A Chao - said:
I don't think it is even necessary to add a 'fudge factor' to the @ES 96.8/110.6 projection.
Since this is a long projection, the confirmed upside projection percentage was and remained 85.71%.
When you increased the ATR-fudge factor, only the downside percentages, and thus, overall percentages went up. Except for the big miss on trade #13, all the projections were on the short side.
I would assume it would make most sense to only consider the statistics for the respective trade direction when evaluating a projection.
Thank you, these statistics are tremendously useful.
play_arrow
Comments (5)
You cannot post comments.
Sign up for the Video or Bundle membership now and get access to exclusive content!
Login for Members
Jaw dropping work Peter. The statistical addition has added a whole level of predictive power.
Fantastic analysis as always, Peter!
Been using the stats for past 10 days. Very helpful! This Software competes with the Fed at throwing Free money at you ! Love it
What kind of % drawdown on a 50-60 ATR can we expect in your mind? Just unreal that it’s 4000 not even a summer election drop like usual on 4yr election cycle? What!!!
Good observation. I agree!
1-5 of 5